U.S. fertility rate hit record low in 2024 of 1.599 kids per woman

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Joel Abbott

Jul 25, 2025

Deporting a gazillion illegal aliens won't matter if this doesn't change:

The fertility rate in the U.S. dropped to an all-time low in 2024 with less than 1.6 kids per woman, new federal data released Thursday shows.

The U.S. was once among only a few developed countries with a rate that ensured each generation had enough children to replace itself — about 2.1 kids per woman. But it has been sliding in America for close to two decades as more women are waiting longer to have children or never taking that step at all.

The new statistic is on par with fertility rates in western European countries, according to World Bank data.

Unfortunately, lots of people aren't good with math, so I have to explain this.

1.6 babies per woman doesn't mean we're getting more people.

Why? Because it takes two to tango.

A mother and father have to have two children to replace them. However, since not all kids survive until adulthood to have kids of their own, a civilization needs 2.1 babies per woman in order to keep the population stable. In a world where life is messier than statistics, this means a large percentage of women need to have at least 3 babies in order to make up for those who have one or none.

However, no civilization has survived long-term with a stagnant population, meaning that number would have to be even higher for the population to actually grow.

But there's no reason to be alarmed, according to Leslie Root, a University of Colorado Boulder researcher focused on fertility and population policy.

'We're seeing this as part of an ongoing process of fertility delay. We know that the U.S. population is still growing, and we still have a natural increase — more births than deaths,' she said.

Karen Guzzo, director of the Carolina Population Center at the University of North Carolina, said many people are worried about finances right now. Homes in particular are unattainable for couples that want a nest to raise a family.

'Worry is not a good moment to have kids,' and that's why birth rates in most age groups are not improving, she said.

Homes gotta drop about 70% in prices in order for us to even think about that baby boom.

Speaking of boomers ...

In the early 1960s, the U.S. total fertility rate was around 3.5, but plummeted to 1.7 by 1976 after the Baby Boom ended.

I wonder what also happened during that time.

We've aborted 19% of our population since Roe, and that doesn't even include their kids, grandkids, and so on ...

[The fertility rate] gradually rose to 2.1 in 2007 before falling again, aside from a 2014 uptick. The rate in 2023 was 1.621, and inched down in 2024 to 1.599, according to the CDC's National Center for Health Statistics.

If this continues, in a few generations, there simply won't be enough Americans to fill America anymore.

And if that happens, apart from an act of God, it won't matter how many migrants we deported in 2025. As Daniel 4:17 says,

... the Most High is ruler over human kingdoms. He gives them to anyone he wants and sets the lowliest of people over them.

Demographics is destiny.


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